Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.381778 0.435466 0.492843 0.558593 0.631717 0.710409 0.801358
2025-11-16 0.291993 0.364440 0.447775 0.550168 0.671996 0.811690 0.983332
2025-11-23 0.225226 0.306430 0.406563 0.537784 0.703727 0.905000 1.165799
2025-11-30 0.183244 0.270349 0.384908 0.544081 0.756595 1.027316 1.394487
2025-12-07 0.146324 0.233715 0.356043 0.535715 0.788035 1.124241 1.599414
2025-12-14 0.121203 0.208625 0.338307 0.538690 0.833168 1.241467 1.839681
2025-12-21 0.098454 0.182565 0.314660 0.529029 0.857967 1.331385 2.048548
2025-12-28 0.086400 0.171164 0.311117 0.548065 0.925271 1.485467 2.357988
2026-01-04 0.076233 0.160932 0.307596 0.565965 0.991516 1.641929 2.680822
2026-01-11 0.065397 0.147324 0.296186 0.569022 1.033731 1.764173 2.959672
2026-01-18 0.056064 0.134675 0.284392 0.569471 1.070798 1.879894 3.234653
2026-01-25 0.048049 0.123010 0.272519 0.567920 1.103529 1.989879 3.506162
2026-02-01 0.041218 0.112576 0.261655 0.567201 1.138073 2.106060 3.796624
2026-02-08 0.035732 0.103980 0.253113 0.569675 1.178157 2.233753 4.113207
2026-02-15 0.030373 0.094450 0.241128 0.563836 1.202190 2.335257 4.391750
2026-02-22 0.027079 0.089339 0.237821 0.574851 1.258244 2.495261 4.777382
2026-03-01 0.023106 0.081441 0.227008 0.568878 1.280899 2.597143 5.068122
2026-03-08 0.020354 0.076262 0.221657 0.573793 1.324965 2.739756 5.436896
2026-03-15 0.017257 0.069208 0.210603 0.564707 1.339827 2.829197 5.715373
2026-03-22 0.015978 0.067511 0.212699 0.585560 1.417580 3.040102 6.222436
2026-03-29 0.014751 0.065675 0.214144 0.604974 1.493608 3.251591 6.740023
2026-04-05 0.013041 0.061684 0.209184 0.608510 1.535868 3.400214 7.148114
2026-04-12 0.011447 0.057625 0.203351 0.609176 1.571734 3.537991 7.541857